The Trading Deck features opinions on trading and investing written by market professionals, not staff journalists.

He is founder and president of Libertas Wealth Management Group Inc. He appears regularly on Marketwatch, Forbes, Yahoo! What if I shared the fact that this NYSE indicator lies to you? The NYSE has evolved over the years to the point where, like a son who's gone to live on an island only to return a year later without cutting his hair or shaving even once, you might not even recognize it. Long gone are the days of the New York Stock Exchange trading only stocks.

In fact, when you take a dive into the guts of the exchange, what you'd find might surprise you.

Hidden behind the age-old acronym "NYSE" is a plethora of non-stock investments. In order to get a real look at the number of advancing stocks vs. For a larger chart, please click here. Notice the stark difference between the two charts.

Advances And Declines

The first chart, which includes interest-rate-sensitive "safer" investments above parades a new high. Conversely, the second chart, which removes the rose-colored glasses from our field of vision, shows us the real truth — that individual stocks advancing vs.

Rather, it's struggling to break north of overhead resistance, which resides back in November. There are some investors and traders who are already aware of the information above.

Certain heuristics lead to a number of psychological errors when investing one's hard-earned savings. We all want to grow our portfolios as fast and as safely as possible, but we're all human. Amateurs and professionals alike suffer from different types of hindsight or confirmation errors. They subconsciously think that, because the market has risen for more than seven years, that it should continue rising. Conversely, many reading this column may get upset, since the information I've just shared may not confirm their hope for near-term higher stock market prices.

As a result, these readers may feel compelled to underweight or completely disregard the information, since it doesn't support their opinion something called Cognitive Dissonance.

Rather than trying to predict the future of market movements, it is advisable to observe what the market is showing you and then adapt accordingly. Today, the market is exhibiting instability in the form of a fragile bear-market rally, combined with significant overhead resistance, all while entering the seasonally weak six months of the year. Conditions such as those being observed in the current market landscape are ones that deserve both attention and caution.

As Warren Buffett once said, "The best way to make a dollar is to not lose a dollar.

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Advances And Declines

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$ADRN | Stocks Technical Chart for NYSE Advance Decline Ratio

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